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USD/JPY is approaching the 153 mark, falling after rising high, beware of major short-term adjustments

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The U.S. dollar is approaching the 153 mark against the yen, rising and falling, beware of short-term major adjustments." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

After the collapse of the alliance between Japan's Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party, the newly elected leader of the Liberal Democratic Party, Takaichi Sanae, is waiting for a parliamentary vote to be confirmed as Japan's first female prime minister.

Analysts pointed out that this kind of political turmoil may delay the central bank's tightening pace and weaken the market's confidence in raising interest rates within the year.

Takashi Hirata, foreign exchange strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo, said: "Political uncertainty has weakened the market's trust in the independence of the Bank of Japan's policy, and the market is reassessing the possibility of raising interest rates before the end of the year."

At the same time, news from the United States provided support for the dollar. Trump has softened his tariff threats on Asian countries in recent days. He stated on social platforms that "the United States wants to help, not hurt Asian countries." This has eased the risk aversion pressure previously caused by trade concerns.

Anna Paulson, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, pointed out that rising labor market risks may require further interest rate cuts to support the economy. According to the CMEFedWatch tool, the market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October and December is as high as 97% and 90% respectively.

Despite this, market safe-haven funds still favor US dollar assets. The U.S. government shutdown has entered its third week, and the release of some economic data has been delayed, making the market more reliant on speeches by Federal Reserve officials to determine the direction of policy. Speeches from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday are expected to be key in driving currency moves.

Looking at the daily graphic structure, the USD/JPY formed an obvious "rising high and low" structure after continuously falling back on the 151.70 support, showing a mid-term upward trend.The momentum is still intact.

The current price is above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, the technical indicator MACD continues to maintain positive momentum, and the RSI is near 65, showing that the bulls still have the upper hand. If the exchange rate breaks through the resistance zone between 152.80 and 153.00, it will open up space to further explore the 153.25-153.50 area; if it is blocked and falls back, 151.70 will become an important short-term support.

Analyst Koji Tanaka pointed out: "As long as the US dollar against the yen is stable above 151.50, the overall structure of the market is still bullish, and 153.00 is the next key observation level."

With上内容就是关于“【XM外汇市场分析】：美元兑日元逼近153关口，冲高回落，谨防短期大幅调整”的全部内容，是由XM外汇小编认真整理编辑的，希望对你的交易有所帮助！ Thanks for the support!

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market analysis

USD/JPY is approaching the 153 mark, falling after rising high, beware of major short-term adjustments

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market analysis

USD/JPY is approaching the 153 mark, falling after rising high, beware of major short-term adjustments

Related News

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for a Reason