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Trump's tariff threat impacts market confidence, dollar index falls

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Trump's tariff threat affects market confidence, and the U.S. dollar index falls". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply on Friday (October 10) after U.S. President Trump’s remarks on tariffs. The move injects new geopolitical risks into already nervous markets.

The U.S. dollar exchange rate weakened in tandem with yields, and the U.S. dollar index fell from its weekly high. Traders are weighing the twin impacts of declining odds of a rate cut and rising political uncertainty overseas.

Trump’s remarks hit the market’s risk appetite, prompting investors to turn to bonds and gold; after a brief decline in the stock market, bargain-hunting funds entered the market and pushed the stock price back up. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell 8 basis points to 4.063%; the yield on the 2-year Treasury note fell 7 basis points to 3.522%.

The current U.S. government is in a deadlock, and the economic calendar is sparse. Affected by the government shutdown (currently entering its 10th day), the market is still in a state of data release interruption.

Interest rate cut expectations continue to be strong, and the U.S. dollar index has fallen from its highs

Despite some opposition within the Federal Reserve, statements by Fed officials have strengthened the possibility of an interest rate cut, and the U.S. dollar index has fallen from Thursday's two-month high to 99.33. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday that the central bank should remain "cautious" but confirmed its support for easing policy.

Federal funds futures currently show that the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in October is 95%; the probability of another interest rate cut in December has dropped to 80%. Minutes of the Federal Open Market xn--xm-5s9cx14e.committee (FOMC) meeting released earlier this week showed that members generally supported a rate cut, but there was no clear consensus on the pace of rate cuts - the government shutdown resulted in incomplete inflation data, is one of the reasons why the rhythm is unclear.

France and Japan intensify volatility in the global foreign exchange market

Affected by the intensifying political turmoil in France, the euro-dollar exchange rate is hovering near a two-month low of 1.15705, with a decline of 1.5% expected this week. French President Emmanuel Macron is struggling to find a new prime minister who can push through austerity budget bills, undermining market confidence in the euro zone's second-largest economy.

At the same time, although the Japanese yen exchange rate rebounded slightly to 152.7 yen per US dollar, it was still under pressure. As market expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates have cooled after Sanae Takaichi's political victory, the yen is expected to fall 3.5% this week, marking its largest weekly decline in a year. Japanese Finance Minister Kato acknowledged growing concerns about the foreign exchange market, but did not propose specific responses.

Market Outlook: Risks continue to accumulate, and the U.S. dollar faces obstacles in breaking through the 100 mark

With the current softening of U.S. Treasury bond yields, reappearance of geopolitical risks, and further pressure from overseas political uncertainty, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) may find it difficult to successfully break through the 100 mark due to the superposition of multiple factors. The resistance level at this level has not yet been broken, and in the absence of new economic data or the Fed turning hawkish, the dollar's short-term upside is limited. Traders should pay attention to upcoming corporate earnings reports and xn--xm-5s9cx14e.comments from Federal Reserve officials for direction guidance.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Trump's tariff threat affects market confidence, and the U.S. dollar index falls". It is carefully xn--xm-5s9cx14e.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market news

Trump's tariff threat impacts market confidence, dollar index falls

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason